Catania 1-1 Crotone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Pro League Cup, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
25%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.6
Over 2.5
51%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.53
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.67
6+ Goals
13%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
42%
+6.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.6pp
25%
Away Win
29%
-4.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
59%
-9.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
41%
+9.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.3pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catania EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Crotone EU Bookmakers 32%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.20/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/2.59
+59% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / -49%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catania
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Crotone
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.01.2024 Crotone Crotone 3-0 HT 1-0 Catania Catania İTC
29.11.2023 Catania Catania 3-3 HT 0-1 Crotone Crotone İTCK
01.09.2023 Catania Catania 0-1 HT 0-0 Crotone Crotone İTC
16.02.2015 Catania Catania 1-1 HT 0-1 Crotone Crotone İTB
23.09.2014 Crotone Crotone 1-1 HT 0-1 Catania Catania İTB
08.02.2006 Catania Catania 3-2 HT 1-2 Crotone Crotone İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catania
1-1
AWAY Crotone
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Catania vs Crotone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catania and Crotone couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Catania at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Catania had 41% of the ball to Crotone's 59%, shots finished 10-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crotone led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Catania and 1.83 for Crotone.

What was the final score of Catania vs Crotone?

Catania 1-1 Crotone in the Italy - Pro League Cup on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catania vs Crotone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Catania win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Catania 49%, draw 26%, Crotone 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Catania), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Catania) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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