Atalanta II 1-2 Vicenza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Pro League Cup, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.41
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
4.98
6+ Goals
8%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
38%
Away Win
38%
+0.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.0pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Vicenza EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +61%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atalanta II
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Vicenza
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Atalanta II Atalanta II 1-2 HT 0-1 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
30.09.2023 Vicenza Vicenza 3-0 HT 1-0 Atalanta II Atalanta II İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atalanta II
1-2
AWAY Vicenza
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atalanta II vs Vicenza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vicenza edged past Atalanta II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Vicenza found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atalanta II had 51% of the ball to Vicenza's 49%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Vicenza led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Atalanta II and 2.50 for Vicenza.

What was the final score of Atalanta II vs Vicenza?

Atalanta II 1-2 Vicenza in the Italy - Pro League Cup on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atalanta II vs Vicenza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vicenza win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Atalanta II 34%, draw 28%, Vicenza 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vicenza) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vicenza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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