Pineto 0-2 Perugia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Pro League Cup, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+2.6pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.4pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pineto EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Perugia EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pineto
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Perugia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.03.2024 Perugia Perugia 2-2 HT 0-0 Pineto Pineto İTC
18.11.2023 Pineto Pineto 1-1 HT 0-1 Perugia Perugia İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pineto
0-2
AWAY Perugia
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 16
0 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pineto vs Perugia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perugia got the better of Pineto 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Perugia made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Pineto had 50% of the ball to Perugia's 50%, shots finished 5-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pineto and 1.50 for Perugia.

What was the final score of Pineto vs Perugia?

Pineto 0-2 Perugia in the Italy - Pro League Cup on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pineto vs Perugia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pineto win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Pineto 37%, draw 26%, Perugia 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Under 2.5
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