Padova Calcio 3-2 FeralpiSalo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Pro League Cup, 18 Aug 2024

Padova Calcio
3-2 HT 1-1
FeralpiSalo
📅18/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Pro League Cup – 2024/2025

Padova Calcio vs FeralpiSalo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.84
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.11
6+ Goals
9%
19.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 33% vs market 29.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.5pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.6pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-3.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.9pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Padova Calcio v FeralpiSalo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY FeralpiSalo EU Bookmakers 40%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-37% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards –

Padova Calcio vs FeralpiSalo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Padova Calcio
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FeralpiSalo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.02.2023 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 0-0 HT 0-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
03.10.2022 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 1-1 HT 1-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
06.03.2022 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 1-0 HT 1-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
25.10.2021 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 1-0 HT 1-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
17.03.2021 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 4-0 HT 2-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
22.11.2020 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 3-1 HT 0-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC

Padova Calcio 3-2 FeralpiSalo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Padova Calcio
3-2
AWAY FeralpiSalo
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Padova Calcio vs FeralpiSalo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Padova Calcio squeezed past FeralpiSalo 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Padova Calcio found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Padova Calcio had 51% of the ball to FeralpiSalo's 49%, shots finished 18-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Padova Calcio and 0.83 for FeralpiSalo.

What was the final score of Padova Calcio vs FeralpiSalo?

Padova Calcio 3-2 FeralpiSalo in the Italy - Pro League Cup on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Padova Calcio vs FeralpiSalo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Padova Calcio 36%, draw 31%, FeralpiSalo 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Padova Calcio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Padova Calcio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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