GIANA Erminio 1-0 Virtus Entella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Pro League Cup, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.84
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
32%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.52
Over 2.5
48%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.29
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
5.33
6+ Goals
10%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
31%
+10.5pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.9pp
32%
Away Win
38%
-6.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
62%
-9.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
38%
+9.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.5pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Entella EU Bookmakers 43%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
1.95/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+63% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
323 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GIANA Erminio
1-0
AWAY Virtus Entella
43% Ball Possession 57%
4 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH GIANA Erminio vs Virtus Entella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GIANA Erminio edged past Virtus Entella 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had GIANA Erminio as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, GIANA Erminio had 43% of the ball to Virtus Entella's 57%, shots finished 4-6.

What was the final score of GIANA Erminio vs Virtus Entella?

GIANA Erminio 1-0 Virtus Entella in the Italy - Pro League Cup on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GIANA Erminio vs Virtus Entella?

Before kick-off our model rated a GIANA Erminio win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split GIANA Erminio 42%, draw 26%, Virtus Entella 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (GIANA Erminio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (GIANA Erminio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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