Crotone 3-0 Catania — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Jan 2024

Crotone
3-0 HT 1-0
Catania
📅07/01/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2023/2024

Crotone vs Catania Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.35
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
4.68
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Crotone v Catania — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crotone EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Catania EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -1%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.35
-19% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
216 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.2

Crotone vs Catania Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crotone
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Catania
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
29.11.2023 Catania Catania 3-3 HT 0-1 Crotone Crotone İTCK
01.09.2023 Catania Catania 0-1 HT 0-0 Crotone Crotone İTC
16.02.2015 Catania Catania 1-1 HT 0-1 Crotone Crotone İTB
23.09.2014 Crotone Crotone 1-1 HT 0-1 Catania Catania İTB
08.02.2006 Catania Catania 3-2 HT 1-2 Crotone Crotone İTB
24.09.2005 Crotone Crotone 3-1 HT 0-1 Catania Catania İTB

Crotone 3-0 Catania — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crotone
3-0
AWAY Catania
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Crotone vs Catania
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crotone ran out comfortable winners over Catania 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Crotone found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Crotone had 49% of the ball to Catania's 51%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crotone had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Crotone and 1.50 for Catania.

What was the final score of Crotone vs Catania?

Crotone 3-0 Catania in the Italy - Serie C on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crotone vs Catania?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crotone win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Crotone 39%, draw 27%, Catania 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crotone), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Crotone) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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