Lens (K) 1-0 Saint-Étienne (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 5 Dec 2025

Lens (K)
1-0 HT 1-0
Saint-Étienne (K)
📅05/12/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
France - Women's 1st Divisioni – 2025/2026

Lens (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.25
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.9
Over 2.5
55%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
40%
+8.0pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.1pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-2.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
49%
-3.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
51%
+3.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.3pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lens (K) v Saint-Étienne (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lens (K) EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Saint-Étienne (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -61%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
– Crosses 19.5
– Yellow Cards 1.7

Lens (K) 1-0 Saint-Étienne (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lens (K)
1-0
AWAY Saint-Étienne (K)
0.98 xG 0.72
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 8
181 Passes 305
64% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lens (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lens (K) squeezed past Saint-Étienne (K) 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lens (K) as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lens (K) had 42% of the ball to Saint-Étienne (K)'s 58%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 0.98 to 0.72.

What was the final score of Lens (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K)?

Lens (K) 1-0 Saint-Étienne (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 05/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lens (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lens (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Lens (K) 48%, draw 22%, Saint-Étienne (K) 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lens (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lens (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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