Marsilya (K) 1-5 PSG (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 5 Dec 2025

Marsilya (K)
1-5 HT 0-1
PSG (K)
📅05/12/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
France - Women's 1st Divisioni – 2025/2026

Marsilya (K) vs PSG (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
7.78
Draw
16%
4.95
Away
69%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
2%
X/1
4%
X/2
23%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
42%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
10%
+4.7pp
16%
Draw
17%
-0.8pp
69%
Away Win
73%
-3.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
+0.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.0pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Marsilya (K) v PSG (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marsilya (K) EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY PSG (K) EU Bookmakers 77%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -34%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
233 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.3
– Crosses 20.6
– Yellow Cards 1.5

Marsilya (K) 1-5 PSG (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marsilya (K)
1-5
AWAY PSG (K)
0.78 xG 1.78
22% Ball Possession 78%
4 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 9
129 Passes 648
66% Pass Accuracy 90%
9 Box Touches 28
6 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Marsilya (K) vs PSG (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSG (K) cruised past Marsilya (K) 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PSG (K) as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Marsilya (K) had 22% of the ball to PSG (K)'s 78%, shots finished 4-15, expected goals 0.78 to 1.78.

What was the final score of Marsilya (K) vs PSG (K)?

Marsilya (K) 1-5 PSG (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 05/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marsilya (K) vs PSG (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSG (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Marsilya (K) 15%, draw 16%, PSG (K) 69%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSG (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSG (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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