Alloa Athletic 3-1 Edinburgh City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 6 Jan 2024

Alloa Athletic
3-1 HT 1-0
Edinburgh City
📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Scotland - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Alloa Athletic vs Edinburgh City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.16
Draw
17%
7.13
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
4.0
Over 2.5
65%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.67
No
52%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
9.08
2-3 Goals
40%
2.42
4-5 Goals
29%
2.34
6+ Goals
12%
3.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1.15
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
3%
34.0
X/1
20%
3.64
X/2
5%
34.0
X/X
7%
15.35
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.85
2/2
6%
34.0
2/X
7%
34.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.85 — our 8% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
82%
-13.7pp
17%
Draw
11%
+6.0pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+7.8pp
35%
Under 2.5
22%
+13.5pp
65%
Over 2.5
78%
-13.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
33%
+14.7pp
52%
BTTS No
67%
-14.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alloa Athletic v Edinburgh City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Edinburgh City EU Bookmakers 9%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.46/0.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/2.47
-42% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -4%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
438 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Alloa Athletic vs Edinburgh City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alloa Athletic
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Edinburgh City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
17 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 9
The Meetings
18.11.2023 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 3-0 HT 2-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
30.09.2023 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-1 HT 0-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK1
11.03.2023 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 0-2 HT 0-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
14.01.2023 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-1 HT 2-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK1
19.11.2022 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 4-3 HT 1-3 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
13.08.2022 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-4 HT 1-2 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK1
POST-MATCH Alloa Athletic vs Edinburgh City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alloa Athletic beat Edinburgh City 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Alloa Athletic as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Edinburgh City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Alloa Athletic and 2.17 for Edinburgh City.

What was the final score of Alloa Athletic vs Edinburgh City?

Alloa Athletic 3-1 Edinburgh City in the Scotland - 1st Division on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alloa Athletic vs Edinburgh City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alloa Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Alloa Athletic 68%, draw 17%, Edinburgh City 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alloa Athletic), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alloa Athletic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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