Annan Athletic 2-2 Montrose — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 6 Jan 2024

Annan Athletic
2-2 HT 1-1
Montrose
📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Scotland - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Annan Athletic vs Montrose Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
46%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.73
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
29%
3.17
6+ Goals
11%
10.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.17 — our 29% vs market 25.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.42
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
24.7
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
9%
6.52
X/2
14%
4.94
X/X
12%
4.88
2/1
5%
30.5
2/2
24%
3.0
2/X
8%
12.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.7 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
32%
-5.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
46%
Away Win
42%
+3.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.3pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Annan Athletic v Montrose — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Annan Athletic EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Montrose EU Bookmakers 46%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +21%
1.33/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/0.79
+1% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +44%
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Annan Athletic vs Montrose Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Annan Athletic
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Montrose
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Montrose Montrose 1-1 HT 0-1 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK1
12.08.2023 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 1-3 HT 0-3 Montrose Montrose İK1
27.11.2018 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 3-4 HT 0-4 Montrose Montrose İKK
24.11.2018 Montrose Montrose 0-0 HT 0-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İKK
13.03.2018 Montrose Montrose 2-1 HT 1-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK2
06.01.2018 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 0-1 HT 0-1 Montrose Montrose İK2
POST-MATCH Annan Athletic vs Montrose
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Annan Athletic and Montrose couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Montrose at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montrose led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Annan Athletic and 1.83 for Montrose.

What was the final score of Annan Athletic vs Montrose?

Annan Athletic 2-2 Montrose in the Scotland - 1st Division on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Annan Athletic vs Montrose?

Before kick-off our model rated an Montrose win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Annan Athletic 26%, draw 28%, Montrose 46%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Montrose) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Montrose) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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