Bromsgrove Sporting 4-1 Long Eaton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.3
Draw
18%
4.95
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
72%
-9.8pp
18%
Draw
17%
+0.8pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+9.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bromsgrove Sporting EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Long Eaton United EU Bookmakers 14%
-50% / -50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.64/2.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/3.03
-72% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / -29%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
355 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bromsgrove Sporting
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Long Eaton United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.09.2023 Long Eaton United 0-1 HT 0-1 Bromsgrove Sporting İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Bromsgrove Sporting vs Long Eaton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bromsgrove Sporting ran out comfortable winners over Long Eaton United 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bromsgrove Sporting as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Bromsgrove Sporting vs Long Eaton United?

Bromsgrove Sporting 4-1 Long Eaton United in the England - Non League Premier on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bromsgrove Sporting vs Long Eaton United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bromsgrove Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Bromsgrove Sporting 62%, draw 18%, Long Eaton United 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bromsgrove Sporting), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bromsgrove Sporting) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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