Salisbury 4-2 Tiverton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
59%
-15.6pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.2pp
29%
Away Win
19%
+10.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.9pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salisbury EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Tiverton Town EU Bookmakers 22%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +16%
1.73/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.90
-17% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
422 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salisbury
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Tiverton Town
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
13.09.2023 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town 1-3 HT 1-1 Salisbury Salisbury İNGNLP
25.02.2023 Salisbury Salisbury 0-1 HT 0-1 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town İNGNLP
12.10.2022 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town 2-4 HT 0-2 Salisbury Salisbury İNGNLP
08.03.2022 Salisbury Salisbury 0-3 HT 0-1 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town İNGNLP
15.09.2021 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Salisbury Salisbury İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Salisbury vs Tiverton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salisbury got the better of Tiverton Town 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Salisbury as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Salisbury had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Salisbury and 1.60 for Tiverton Town.

What was the final score of Salisbury vs Tiverton Town?

Salisbury 4-2 Tiverton Town in the England - Non League Premier on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salisbury vs Tiverton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salisbury win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Salisbury 44%, draw 27%, Tiverton Town 29%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salisbury), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Salisbury) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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