Athletic Bilbao II 3-0 Brea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Jan 2024

Athletic Bilbao II
3-0 HT 2-0
Brea
📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division RFEF – 2023/2024

Athletic Bilbao II vs Brea Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.25
Draw
27%
4.95
Away
14%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
3.08
No
58%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
76%
-17.0pp
27%
Draw
18%
+9.7pp
13%
Away Win
6%
+7.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
28%
+14.0pp
58%
BTTS No
72%
-14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Athletic Bilbao II v Brea — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Bilbao II EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Brea EU Bookmakers 8%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
2.51/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/0.47
+24% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +150%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
482 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
18.0 Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.2

Athletic Bilbao II 3-0 Brea — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Bilbao II
3-0
AWAY Brea
69% Ball Possession 31%
17 Total Shots 5
13 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Athletic Bilbao II vs Brea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Bilbao II cruised past Brea 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Athletic Bilbao II as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Athletic Bilbao II had 69% of the ball to Brea's 31%, shots finished 17-5.

What was the final score of Athletic Bilbao II vs Brea?

Athletic Bilbao II 3-0 Brea in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Bilbao II vs Brea?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao II win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao II 59%, draw 27%, Brea 13%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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