Ourense CF 2-0 Real Aviles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+1.1pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.0pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.9pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ourense CF EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Aviles EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.20/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.87
+1% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ourense CF
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Real Aviles
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
22.04.2023 Real Aviles Real Aviles 0-3 HT 0-1 Ourense CF Ourense CF İS4
11.12.2022 Ourense CF Ourense CF 2-0 HT 1-0 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ourense CF
2-0
AWAY Real Aviles
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ourense CF vs Real Aviles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ourense CF got the better of Real Aviles 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Ourense CF made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Ourense CF had 52% of the ball to Real Aviles's 48%, shots finished 13-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ourense CF had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Ourense CF and 0.00 for Real Aviles.

What was the final score of Ourense CF vs Real Aviles?

Ourense CF 2-0 Real Aviles in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ourense CF vs Real Aviles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ourense CF win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ourense CF 39%, draw 31%, Real Aviles 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ourense CF), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ourense CF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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