Hapoel Beer Sheva 4-2 Maccabi Bnei Raina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.0
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
25%
3.61
6+ Goals
8%
15.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
62%
-3.8pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.7pp
18%
Away Win
15%
+3.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.5pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Beer Sheva EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Maccabi Bnei Raina EU Bookmakers 19%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
2.10/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.54
+20% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / +88%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
404 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
36.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
23.3 Crosses 14.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Beer Sheva
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.76 xG 0.43
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 2
492 Passes 229
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
32 Box Touches 12
31 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Maccabi Bnei Raina Maccabi Bnei Raina 1-1 HT 1-1 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Beer Sheva
4-2
AWAY Maccabi Bnei Raina
2.58 xG 0.99
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
407 Passes 241
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Bnei Raina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Beer Sheva beat Maccabi Bnei Raina 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hapoel Beer Sheva as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hapoel Beer Sheva had 60% of the ball to Maccabi Bnei Raina's 40%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 2.58 to 0.99.

What was the final score of Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Bnei Raina?

Hapoel Beer Sheva 4-2 Maccabi Bnei Raina in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Bnei Raina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hapoel Beer Sheva win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Beer Sheva 58%, draw 23%, Maccabi Bnei Raina 18%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hapoel Beer Sheva) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hapoel Beer Sheva) ✗ BTTS No
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