Maccabi Netanya 2-1 Hapoel Tel Aviv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 6 Jan 2024

Maccabi Netanya
2-1 HT 2-1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
📅06/01/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Israel - Ligat HaAl – 2023/2024

Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Tel Aviv Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
39%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.73
2-3 Goals
34%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.96
6+ Goals
11%
18.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 33% vs market 29.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
48%
-11.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
39%
Away Win
25%
+13.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.7pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Maccabi Netanya v Hapoel Tel Aviv — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Netanya EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Tel Aviv EU Bookmakers 29%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +55% / +55%
1.91/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/1.36
-71% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +149% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
285 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 70%
34.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
13.3 Crosses 11.9
3.9 Yellow Cards 3.4

Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Tel Aviv Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maccabi Netanya
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hapoel Tel Aviv
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.78 xG 1.71
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
412 Passes 179
84% Pass Accuracy 67%
24 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
02.09.2023 Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv 2-0 HT 1-0 Maccabi Netanya Maccabi Netanya İSR

Maccabi Netanya 2-1 Hapoel Tel Aviv — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Netanya
2-1
AWAY Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.57 xG 1.15
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 8
240 Passes 237
70% Pass Accuracy 69%
25 Box Touches 15
10 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maccabi Netanya edged past Hapoel Tel Aviv 2-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) promised a tight game; Maccabi Netanya found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Maccabi Netanya had 49% of the ball to Hapoel Tel Aviv's 51%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.57 to 1.15.

What was the final score of Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?

Maccabi Netanya 2-1 Hapoel Tel Aviv in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hapoel Tel Aviv win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Netanya 37%, draw 24%, Hapoel Tel Aviv 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hapoel Tel Aviv) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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