Chabab Mohammedia 1-0 Ittihad Tanger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.53
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.27
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
16%
4.93
6+ Goals
9%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
36%
+7.2pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.6pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-3.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.1pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chabab Mohammedia EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ittihad Tanger EU Bookmakers 37%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -9%
1.12/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.17
+0% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
264 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chabab Mohammedia
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ittihad Tanger
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.06.2023 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia 1-2 HT 0-2 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger FAS
22.01.2023 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger 0-1 HT 0-1 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia FAS
12.02.2022 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia 3-0 HT 2-0 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger FAS
18.09.2021 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger 1-1 HT 1-0 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia FAS
01.07.2021 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger 0-1 HT 0-0 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia FAS
14.03.2021 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia 1-2 HT 1-0 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chabab Mohammedia
1-0
AWAY Ittihad Tanger
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chabab Mohammedia vs Ittihad Tanger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chabab Mohammedia nicked a narrow win over Ittihad Tanger 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Chabab Mohammedia as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Chabab Mohammedia had 54% of the ball to Ittihad Tanger's 46%, shots finished 15-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chabab Mohammedia had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chabab Mohammedia and 0.83 for Ittihad Tanger.

What was the final score of Chabab Mohammedia vs Ittihad Tanger?

Chabab Mohammedia 1-0 Ittihad Tanger in the Morocco - League on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chabab Mohammedia vs Ittihad Tanger?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chabab Mohammedia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Chabab Mohammedia 43%, draw 27%, Ittihad Tanger 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chabab Mohammedia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chabab Mohammedia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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