Raja Casablanca 2-0 Mouloudia Oujda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.3
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.58
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.15
6+ Goals
10%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 27% vs market 21.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
28%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
73%
-11.6pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.9pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+7.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.9pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raja Casablanca EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Mouloudia Oujda EU Bookmakers 12%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
1.81/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.59
-3% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +3%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
423 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raja Casablanca
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Mouloudia Oujda
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.06.2023 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda 0-0 HT 0-0 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FAS
17.01.2023 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca 2-1 HT 0-0 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda FAS
26.04.2022 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca 2-0 HT 0-0 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda FAS
20.10.2021 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda 1-3 HT 0-2 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FAS
20.05.2021 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda 0-2 HT 0-1 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FAS
13.12.2020 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca 3-0 HT 0-0 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Raja Casablanca
2-0
AWAY Mouloudia Oujda
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Raja Casablanca vs Mouloudia Oujda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raja Casablanca saw off Mouloudia Oujda 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Raja Casablanca as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Raja Casablanca had 63% of the ball to Mouloudia Oujda's 37%, shots finished 14-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Raja Casablanca had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Raja Casablanca and 0.33 for Mouloudia Oujda.

What was the final score of Raja Casablanca vs Mouloudia Oujda?

Raja Casablanca 2-0 Mouloudia Oujda in the Morocco - League on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raja Casablanca vs Mouloudia Oujda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Raja Casablanca win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Raja Casablanca 61%, draw 22%, Mouloudia Oujda 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Raja Casablanca), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Raja Casablanca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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