Abertillery Bluebirds 1-1 Taffs Well — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
6.35
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
55%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
13%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
13%
+10.2pp
22%
Draw
17%
+5.6pp
55%
Away Win
70%
-15.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.4pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Abertillery Bluebirds EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Taffs Well EU Bookmakers 75%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.21/1.45
-100% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -30%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
238 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Abertillery Bluebirds
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Taffs Well
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
17.11.2023 Taffs Well Taffs Well 2-1 HT 0-0 Abertillery Bluebirds Abertillery Bluebirds GALFAW
POST-MATCH Abertillery Bluebirds vs Taffs Well
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Abertillery Bluebirds and Taffs Well shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Taffs Well carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Abertillery Bluebirds vs Taffs Well?

Abertillery Bluebirds 1-1 Taffs Well in the Wales - FAW Championship on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Abertillery Bluebirds vs Taffs Well?

Before kick-off our model rated an Taffs Well win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Abertillery Bluebirds 23%, draw 22%, Taffs Well 55%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Taffs Well) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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