Pontardawe Town FC 1-0 Abergavenny Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69%
1.35
No
31%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
62%
-13.2pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.8pp
29%
Away Win
19%
+10.4pp
69%
BTTS Yes
70%
-1.2pp
31%
BTTS No
30%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontardawe Town FC EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Abergavenny Town EU Bookmakers 22%
-66% / -66% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
-56% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
383 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontardawe Town FC
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Abergavenny Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
17.11.2023 Abergavenny Town Abergavenny Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Pontardawe Town FC Pontardawe Town FC GALFAW
03.03.2023 Abergavenny Town Abergavenny Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Pontardawe Town FC Pontardawe Town FC GALFAW
POST-MATCH Pontardawe Town FC vs Abergavenny Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontardawe Town FC squeezed past Abergavenny Town 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pontardawe Town FC as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (69%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pontardawe Town FC and 1.50 for Abergavenny Town.

What was the final score of Pontardawe Town FC vs Abergavenny Town?

Pontardawe Town FC 1-0 Abergavenny Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontardawe Town FC vs Abergavenny Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontardawe Town FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Pontardawe Town FC 49%, draw 22%, Abergavenny Town 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontardawe Town FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pontardawe Town FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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