Carmarthen Town 2-2 Goytre United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
29%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
66%
-18.4pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.2pp
29%
Away Win
15%
+14.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.1pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carmarthen Town EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Goytre United EU Bookmakers 18%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
2.64/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.39
+17% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +58%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
414 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carmarthen Town
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Goytre United
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
17.11.2023 Goytre United Goytre United 0-1 HT 0-0 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
25.03.2023 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 4-1 HT 2-0 Goytre United Goytre United GALFAW
19.08.2022 Goytre United Goytre United 2-3 HT 1-2 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
01.10.2021 Goytre United Goytre United 1-1 HT 0-1 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Carmarthen Town vs Goytre United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carmarthen Town and Goytre United couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Carmarthen Town at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Carmarthen Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Carmarthen Town and 1.00 for Goytre United.

What was the final score of Carmarthen Town vs Goytre United?

Carmarthen Town 2-2 Goytre United in the Wales - FAW Championship on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carmarthen Town vs Goytre United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carmarthen Town win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Carmarthen Town 48%, draw 23%, Goytre United 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Carmarthen Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carmarthen Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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