Cwmbran Celtic 2-1 Ammanford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.67
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
34%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.35
No
42%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
13%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
34%
+12.8pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.0pp
33%
Away Win
43%
-9.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
70%
-11.6pp
42%
BTTS No
30%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cwmbran Celtic EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ammanford EU Bookmakers 48%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
1.71/2.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.32
+2% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / +14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
341 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cwmbran Celtic
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Ammanford
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
17.11.2023 Ammanford Ammanford 4-3 HT 2-2 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
10.04.2023 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 1-1 HT 0-0 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
26.02.2022 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 1-0 HT 0-0 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
POST-MATCH Cwmbran Celtic vs Ammanford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cwmbran Celtic squeezed past Ammanford 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cwmbran Celtic as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cwmbran Celtic and 1.67 for Ammanford.

What was the final score of Cwmbran Celtic vs Ammanford?

Cwmbran Celtic 2-1 Ammanford in the Wales - FAW Championship on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cwmbran Celtic vs Ammanford?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cwmbran Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cwmbran Celtic 46%, draw 20%, Ammanford 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cwmbran Celtic), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cwmbran Celtic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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