Lusitania Lourosa U19 1-2 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Youth U19, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
Over
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
41%
4-5
24%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lusitania Lourosa U19 The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes U19 The Market 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lusitania Lourosa U19
1-2
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes U19
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Lusitania Lourosa U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitoria Guimaraes U19 edged past Lusitania Lourosa U19 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Vitoria Guimaraes U19 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lusitania Lourosa U19 had 39% of the ball to Vitoria Guimaraes U19's 61%, shots finished 7-14.

What was the final score of Lusitania Lourosa U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19?

Lusitania Lourosa U19 1-2 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 in the Portugal - Youth U19 on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lusitania Lourosa U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lusitania Lourosa U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lusitania Lourosa U19 37%, draw 27%, Vitoria Guimaraes U19 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lusitania Lourosa U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lusitania Lourosa U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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