Lusitania U19 1-1 Vitoria Setubal U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Youth U19, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No Pick
56%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
42%
4-5
21%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
52%
Home Win
63%
-11.0pp
31%
Draw
24%
+7.0pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lusitania U19 The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitoria Setubal U19 The Market 15%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
373 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lusitania U19
1-1
AWAY Vitoria Setubal U19
63% Ball Possession 37%
8 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Lusitania U19 vs Vitoria Setubal U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lusitania U19 and Vitoria Setubal U19 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Lusitania U19 at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lusitania U19 had 63% of the ball to Vitoria Setubal U19's 37%, shots finished 8-4.

What was the final score of Lusitania U19 vs Vitoria Setubal U19?

Lusitania U19 1-1 Vitoria Setubal U19 in the Portugal - Youth U19 on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lusitania U19 vs Vitoria Setubal U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lusitania U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Lusitania U19 52%, draw 31%, Vitoria Setubal U19 16%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lusitania U19), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lusitania U19) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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