Khorfakkan 5-2 Baniyas SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 6 Jan 2025

Khorfakkan
5-2 HT 1-2
Baniyas SC
📅06/01/2025 · 🕒15:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
UAE - League – 2024/2025

Khorfakkan vs Baniyas SC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.26
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
2.78
6+ Goals
12%
7.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-5.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.2pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.2pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Khorfakkan v Baniyas SC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khorfakkan EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Baniyas SC EU Bookmakers 38%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.50/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.65
-15% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
21.0 Crosses 18.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Khorfakkan vs Baniyas SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khorfakkan
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Baniyas SC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.49 xG 1.14
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
270 Passes 328
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.04.2024 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 2-1 HT 2-1 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
04.11.2023 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 1-0 HT 0-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
27.01.2023 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 1-2 HT 0-2 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
02.09.2022 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 1-0 HT 0-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
05.04.2022 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 4-2 HT 1-2 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
09.12.2021 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 1-2 HT 1-0 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAELK

Khorfakkan 5-2 Baniyas SC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khorfakkan
5-2
AWAY Baniyas SC
2.12 xG 0.48
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 3
305 Passes 303
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Khorfakkan vs Baniyas SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khorfakkan swept aside Baniyas SC 5-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 36% — and on the day Khorfakkan made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Khorfakkan had 49% of the ball to Baniyas SC's 51%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 2.12 to 0.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Baniyas SC led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Khorfakkan and 1.50 for Baniyas SC.

What was the final score of Khorfakkan vs Baniyas SC?

Khorfakkan 5-2 Baniyas SC in the UAE - League on 06/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khorfakkan vs Baniyas SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Baniyas SC win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Khorfakkan 34%, draw 30%, Baniyas SC 36%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Baniyas SC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Baniyas SC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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