Ethiopian Insurance 3-1 Shire Endaselassie — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 6 Jan 2025

📅06/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.61
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.54
Over 2.5
36%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.53
No
64%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
59%
-6.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
18%
Away Win
15%
+3.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
61%
+2.7pp
36%
Over 2.5
39%
-2.7pp
36%
BTTS Yes
36%
+0.1pp
64%
BTTS No
64%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopian Insurance EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Shire Endaselassie EU Bookmakers 18%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.46/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/0.51
-7% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +150%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopian Insurance
3-1
AWAY Shire Endaselassie
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Ethiopian Insurance vs Shire Endaselassie
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopian Insurance saw off Shire Endaselassie 3-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ethiopian Insurance as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ethiopian Insurance had 57% of the ball to Shire Endaselassie's 43%, shots finished 12-4.

What was the final score of Ethiopian Insurance vs Shire Endaselassie?

Ethiopian Insurance 3-1 Shire Endaselassie in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 06/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopian Insurance vs Shire Endaselassie?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ethiopian Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Ethiopian Insurance 53%, draw 29%, Shire Endaselassie 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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