Mekelakeya 0-1 Hadiya Hosaena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 6 Jan 2025

📅06/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
32%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.52
Over 2.5
34%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.4
No
61%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
49%
-11.5pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.9pp
32%
Away Win
21%
+10.6pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.2pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
38%
+1.3pp
61%
BTTS No
62%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mekelakeya EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Hadiya Hosaena EU Bookmakers 24%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.68/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.99
+50% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mekelakeya
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hadiya Hosaena
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
01.03.2024 Mekelakeya Mekelakeya 2-3 HT 1-1 Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mekelakeya
0-1
AWAY Hadiya Hosaena
62% Ball Possession 38%
7 Total Shots 7
0 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mekelakeya vs Hadiya Hosaena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hadiya Hosaena squeezed past Mekelakeya 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 32% — and on the day Hadiya Hosaena made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Mekelakeya had 62% of the ball to Hadiya Hosaena's 38%, shots finished 7-7.

What was the final score of Mekelakeya vs Hadiya Hosaena?

Mekelakeya 0-1 Hadiya Hosaena in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 06/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mekelakeya vs Hadiya Hosaena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mekelakeya win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mekelakeya 38%, draw 31%, Hadiya Hosaena 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mekelakeya) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mekelakeya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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