East Bengal 2-3 Mumbai City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 6 Jan 2025

East Bengal
2-3 HT 0-2
Mumbai City
📅06/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
India - Super League – 2024/2025

East Bengal vs Mumbai City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.36
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.21
6+ Goals
10%
11.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 26% vs market 22.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+3.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

East Bengal v Mumbai City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME East Bengal EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Mumbai City EU Bookmakers 46%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.01/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.23
+15% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
271 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
15.1 Crosses 20.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.7

East Bengal vs Mumbai City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME East Bengal
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Mumbai City
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.61 xG 1.25
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
173 Passes 439
64% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.02.2024 East Bengal East Bengal 0-1 HT 0-1 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
16.12.2023 Mumbai City Mumbai City 0-0 HT 0-0 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
19.02.2023 Mumbai City Mumbai City 0-1 HT 0-0 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
16.12.2022 East Bengal East Bengal 0-3 HT 0-1 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
22.02.2022 Mumbai City Mumbai City 1-0 HT 0-0 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
07.01.2022 East Bengal East Bengal 0-0 HT 0-0 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL

East Bengal 2-3 Mumbai City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME East Bengal
2-3
AWAY Mumbai City
0.81 xG 2.54
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 4
364 Passes 298
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 22
29 Crosses 12
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH East Bengal vs Mumbai City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mumbai City nicked a narrow win over East Bengal 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Mumbai City found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, East Bengal had 55% of the ball to Mumbai City's 45%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 0.81 to 2.54 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Mumbai City's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mumbai City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for East Bengal and 0.83 for Mumbai City.

What was the final score of East Bengal vs Mumbai City?

East Bengal 2-3 Mumbai City in the India - Super League on 06/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for East Bengal vs Mumbai City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mumbai City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split East Bengal 34%, draw 26%, Mumbai City 40%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mumbai City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mumbai City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →