Al Raed 1-1 Al Jabalain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey, 6 Jan 2025

📅06/01/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.18
2-3 Goals
45%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.36
6+ Goals
8%
13.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 27% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-10.0pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.7pp
23%
Away Win
15%
+8.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.3pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Raed EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Jabalain EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Raed
1-1
AWAY Al Jabalain
1.51 xG 1.24
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
510 Passes 417
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 18
29 Crosses 22
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Raed vs Al Jabalain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Raed and Al Jabalain couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Raed at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Raed had 54% of the ball to Al Jabalain's 46%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.51 to 1.24.

What was the final score of Al Raed vs Al Jabalain?

Al Raed 1-1 Al Jabalain in the Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey on 06/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Raed vs Al Jabalain?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Raed win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Al Raed 53%, draw 24%, Al Jabalain 23%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Raed) ✗ BTTS No
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