Al Shabab Riyadh 2-1 Al Fayha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey, 6 Jan 2025

📅06/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.47
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
26%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
1.9
Over 2.5
61%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
3.16
2-3 Goals
46%
1.74
4-5 Goals
26%
3.37
6+ Goals
10%
13.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
64%
-13.2pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.3pp
26%
Away Win
13%
+13.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
49%
-9.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
51%
+9.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.6pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fayha EU Bookmakers 16%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+65% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
380 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 73%
32.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.6 Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Fayha
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.68 xG 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
454 Passes 274
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2024 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 2-3 HT 0-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
15.09.2023 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
09.03.2023 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 3-2 HT 3-1 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
02.10.2022 Al Fayha Al Fayha 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
27.02.2022 Al Fayha Al Fayha 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
01.10.2021 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 2-1 HT 2-1 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh
2-1
AWAY Al Fayha
1.72 xG 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
439 Passes 426
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Fayha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shabab Riyadh edged past Al Fayha 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Shabab Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Al Shabab Riyadh had 50% of the ball to Al Fayha's 50%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.72 to 1.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Shabab Riyadh had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Shabab Riyadh and 1.33 for Al Fayha.

What was the final score of Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Fayha?

Al Shabab Riyadh 2-1 Al Fayha in the Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey on 06/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Fayha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shabab Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab Riyadh 51%, draw 23%, Al Fayha 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5
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