Al Shabab Riyadh 2-3 Al Fayha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 7 Mar 2024

📅07/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
29%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.11
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.06
6+ Goals
10%
9.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
60%
-11.6pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.1pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fayha EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +10%
1.65/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.35
+1% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -1%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
414 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 76%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
17.9 Crosses 12.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Fayha
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.80 xG 1.08
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
404 Passes 288
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2023 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
09.03.2023 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 3-2 HT 3-1 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
02.10.2022 Al Fayha Al Fayha 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
27.02.2022 Al Fayha Al Fayha 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
01.10.2021 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 2-1 HT 2-1 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
14.08.2020 Al Fayha Al Fayha 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh
2-3
AWAY Al Fayha
1.58 xG 1.67
72% Ball Possession 28%
22 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 1
581 Passes 174
88% Pass Accuracy 68%
38 Box Touches 10
39 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Fayha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Fayha squeezed past Al Shabab Riyadh 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Al Shabab Riyadh at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Al Shabab Riyadh had 72% of the ball to Al Fayha's 28%, shots finished 22-4, expected goals 1.58 to 1.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Shabab Riyadh had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Shabab Riyadh and 1.00 for Al Fayha.

What was the final score of Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Fayha?

Al Shabab Riyadh 2-3 Al Fayha in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Fayha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shabab Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab Riyadh 48%, draw 23%, Al Fayha 28%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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