Al Nassr vs Al Raed Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Nassr v Al Raed — Team-Based Signals
Al Nassr vs Al Raed Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-1
Al Nassr
SUUD
4-0
HT 1-0
Al Raed
SUUD
1-4
HT 1-1
Al Nassr
SUUD
0-3
HT 0-1
Al Nassr
SUUD
2-2
HT 2-2
Al Raed
SUUD
3-1
HT 0-1
Al Raed
SUUD
Al Nassr 1-3 Al Raed — Actual Match Statistics
Al Raed beat Al Nassr 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Al Nassr at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Al Nassr had 72% of the ball to Al Raed's 28%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 0.95 to 0.78.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nassr had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Al Nassr and 0.83 for Al Raed.
What was the final score of Al Nassr vs Al Raed?
Al Nassr 1-3 Al Raed in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Nassr vs Al Raed?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr 51%, draw 25%, Al Raed 25%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Nassr) went the other way.