Damac FC 1-0 Al Wehda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 7 Mar 2024

📅07/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
24%
3.58
2-3 Goals
44%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.35
6+ Goals
10%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 24% vs market 22.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.7pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Damac FC EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Wehda EU Bookmakers 33%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
1.49/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.23
-1% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
341 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
19.4 Crosses 18.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Damac FC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Al Wehda
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.05 xG 1.38
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
266 Passes 358
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2023 Al Wehda Al Wehda 4-2 HT 2-1 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
03.05.2023 Al Wehda Al Wehda 0-2 HT 0-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
25.12.2022 Damac FC Damac FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
20.12.2022 Damac FC Damac FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SAKK
20.05.2021 Al Wehda Al Wehda 1-1 HT 0-1 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
15.01.2021 Damac FC Damac FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Damac FC
1-0
AWAY Al Wehda
0.66 xG 0.25
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 3
392 Passes 283
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Damac FC vs Al Wehda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Damac FC squeezed past Al Wehda 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Damac FC as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Damac FC had 56% of the ball to Al Wehda's 44%, shots finished 6-7, expected goals 0.66 to 0.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Wehda led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Damac FC and 1.00 for Al Wehda.

What was the final score of Damac FC vs Al Wehda?

Damac FC 1-0 Al Wehda in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Damac FC vs Al Wehda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Damac FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Damac FC 45%, draw 25%, Al Wehda 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Damac FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Damac FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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