Gateshead 1-1 Eastleigh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 6 Feb 2024

Gateshead
1-1 HT 0-0
Eastleigh
📅06/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - National League – 2023/2024

Gateshead vs Eastleigh Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.51
Over 2.5
62%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.32
2-3 Goals
36%
1.97
4-5 Goals
29%
2.64
6+ Goals
14%
6.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.82
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
5%
15.85
X/1
14%
3.9
X/2
6%
11.75
X/X
11%
6.83
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
19.35
2/2
9%
8.08
2/X
9%
16.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.35 — our 11% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
62%
-8.9pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.9pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+5.0pp
38%
Under 2.5
36%
+2.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
64%
-2.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.0pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gateshead v Eastleigh — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gateshead EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastleigh EU Bookmakers 21%
-12% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.90/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.82
+2% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
505 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Gateshead vs Eastleigh Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gateshead
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Eastleigh
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
09.09.2023 Eastleigh Eastleigh 0-6 HT 0-4 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
12.04.2023 Eastleigh Eastleigh 2-5 HT 1-2 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
01.10.2022 Gateshead Gateshead 1-1 HT 0-1 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
13.04.2019 Eastleigh Eastleigh 1-0 HT 1-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
29.09.2018 Gateshead Gateshead 0-1 HT 0-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
14.04.2018 Gateshead Gateshead 2-0 HT 1-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL

Gateshead 1-1 Eastleigh — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gateshead
1-1
AWAY Eastleigh
77% Ball Possession 23%
25 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
16 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gateshead vs Eastleigh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gateshead and Eastleigh shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Gateshead at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Gateshead had 77% of the ball to Eastleigh's 23%, shots finished 25-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gateshead had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Gateshead and 0.83 for Eastleigh.

What was the final score of Gateshead vs Eastleigh?

Gateshead 1-1 Eastleigh in the England - National League on 06/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gateshead vs Eastleigh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gateshead win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Gateshead 54%, draw 24%, Eastleigh 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gateshead), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gateshead) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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