The New Saints 3-0 Newtown — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 6 Feb 2024

📅06/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.18
Draw
16%
6.26
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.17
Over 2.5
63%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
7.8
2-3 Goals
36%
2.27
4-5 Goals
24%
2.37
6+ Goals
20%
4.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
80%
-12.4pp
16%
Draw
13%
+3.2pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+9.2pp
37%
Under 2.5
28%
+8.6pp
63%
Over 2.5
72%
-8.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME The New Saints EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Newtown EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
3.56/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/2.35
+25% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +27%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
513 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME The New Saints
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Newtown
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
13.01.2024 The New Saints The New Saints 3-1 HT 1-0 Newtown Newtown GAL
04.11.2023 Newtown Newtown 0-2 HT 0-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
01.04.2023 Newtown Newtown 0-5 HT 0-2 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
18.02.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 1-0 HT 1-0 Newtown Newtown GAL
14.01.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 7-0 HT 4-0 Newtown Newtown GALWK
30.09.2022 The New Saints The New Saints 4-1 HT 3-1 Newtown Newtown GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME The New Saints
3-0
AWAY Newtown
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH The New Saints vs Newtown
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The New Saints cruised past Newtown 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

On the day, The New Saints had 63% of the ball to Newtown's 37%, shots finished 15-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for The New Saints and 0.33 for Newtown.

What was the final score of The New Saints vs Newtown?

The New Saints 3-0 Newtown in the Wales - Premier League on 06/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for The New Saints vs Newtown?

Before kick-off our model rated a The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split The New Saints 68%, draw 16%, Newtown 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (The New Saints) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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