The New Saints 3-1 Newtown — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.18
Draw
15%
6.26
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.94
Over 2.5
65%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
8.47
2-3 Goals
35%
2.34
4-5 Goals
25%
2.28
6+ Goals
22%
3.71
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
80%
-11.1pp
15%
Draw
13%
+1.5pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+9.6pp
35%
Under 2.5
22%
+13.1pp
65%
Over 2.5
78%
-13.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.8pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME The New Saints EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Newtown EU Bookmakers 9%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
3.58/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/2.25
+25% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +33%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
555 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME The New Saints
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Newtown
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
04.11.2023 Newtown Newtown 0-2 HT 0-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
01.04.2023 Newtown Newtown 0-5 HT 0-2 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
18.02.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 1-0 HT 1-0 Newtown Newtown GAL
14.01.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 7-0 HT 4-0 Newtown Newtown GALWK
30.09.2022 The New Saints The New Saints 4-1 HT 3-1 Newtown Newtown GAL
13.08.2022 Newtown Newtown 0-0 HT 0-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME The New Saints
3-1
AWAY Newtown
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 5
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH The New Saints vs Newtown
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The New Saints saw off Newtown 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, The New Saints had 60% of the ball to Newtown's 40%, shots finished 17-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for The New Saints and 0.17 for Newtown.

What was the final score of The New Saints vs Newtown?

The New Saints 3-1 Newtown in the Wales - Premier League on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for The New Saints vs Newtown?

Before kick-off our model rated a The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split The New Saints 69%, draw 15%, Newtown 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (The New Saints) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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