Aberystwyth Town 2-4 Barry Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.53
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.82
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.01
6+ Goals
14%
9.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
36%
+6.6pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-4.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.0pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberystwyth Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Barry Town EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.11/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.78
-18% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +46%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
348 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberystwyth Town
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Barry Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.11.2023 Barry Town Barry Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
05.08.2023 Barry Town Barry Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GALLK
18.04.2022 Barry Town Barry Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
25.03.2022 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
06.11.2021 Barry Town Barry Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
14.08.2021 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aberystwyth Town
2-4
AWAY Barry Town
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Aberystwyth Town vs Barry Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barry Town saw off Aberystwyth Town 4-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Aberystwyth Town at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Aberystwyth Town had 40% of the ball to Barry Town's 60%, shots finished 7-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aberystwyth Town had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aberystwyth Town and 0.67 for Barry Town.

What was the final score of Aberystwyth Town vs Barry Town?

Aberystwyth Town 2-4 Barry Town in the Wales - Premier League on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberystwyth Town vs Barry Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aberystwyth Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Aberystwyth Town 42%, draw 23%, Barry Town 34%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aberystwyth Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aberystwyth Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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