Cardiff MU vs Caernarfon Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cardiff MU v Caernarfon Town — Team-Based Signals
Cardiff MU vs Caernarfon Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-1
HT 2-0
Cardiff MU
GAL
0-3
HT 0-0
Caernarfon Town
GAL
5-1
HT 3-1
Cardiff MU
GAL
0-1
HT 0-1
Caernarfon Town
GAL
2-0
HT 1-0
Cardiff MU
GAL
3-2
HT 1-0
Cardiff MU
GAL
Cardiff MU and Caernarfon Town shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Cardiff MU at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caernarfon Town led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cardiff MU and 3.17 for Caernarfon Town.
What was the final score of Cardiff MU vs Caernarfon Town?
Cardiff MU 2-2 Caernarfon Town in the Wales - Premier League on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cardiff MU vs Caernarfon Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cardiff MU win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cardiff MU 42%, draw 23%, Caernarfon Town 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cardiff MU) went the other way.