Haverfordwest County 2-3 Bala Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 13 Jan 2024

Haverfordwest County
2-3 HT 1-0
Bala Town
📅13/01/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Wales - Premier League – 2023/2024

Haverfordwest County vs Bala Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.89
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.73
6+ Goals
7%
16.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+5.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.4pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Haverfordwest County v Bala Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haverfordwest County EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bala Town EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
0.98/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.77
-28% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +64%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
268 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

Haverfordwest County vs Bala Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haverfordwest County
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Bala Town
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Bala Town Bala Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
22.10.2022 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-4 HT 1-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
20.08.2022 Bala Town Bala Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
11.12.2021 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 0-0 HT 0-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
16.10.2021 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-3 HT 0-0 Bala Town Bala Town GALWK
11.09.2021 Bala Town Bala Town 6-2 HT 4-1 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL

Haverfordwest County 2-3 Bala Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haverfordwest County
2-3
AWAY Bala Town
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Haverfordwest County vs Bala Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bala Town squeezed past Haverfordwest County 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Haverfordwest County at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Haverfordwest County had 51% of the ball to Bala Town's 49%, shots finished 9-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bala Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Haverfordwest County and 2.67 for Bala Town.

What was the final score of Haverfordwest County vs Bala Town?

Haverfordwest County 2-3 Bala Town in the Wales - Premier League on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haverfordwest County vs Bala Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Haverfordwest County win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Haverfordwest County 43%, draw 26%, Bala Town 32%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Haverfordwest County) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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