Penybont vs Connahs Quay Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Penybont v Connahs Quay — Team-Based Signals
Penybont vs Connahs Quay Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-2
HT 2-0
Penybont
GAL
0-0
HT 0-0
Penybont
GAL
1-1
HT 0-0
Connahs Quay
GAL
0-1
HT 0-0
Connahs Quay
GAL
2-0
HT 1-0
Penybont
GAL
0-0
HT 0-0
Penybont
GAL
Penybont 0-1 Connahs Quay — Actual Match Statistics
Connahs Quay nicked a narrow win over Penybont 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Connahs Quay as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Penybont had 38% of the ball to Connahs Quay's 62%, shots finished 9-9.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Connahs Quay led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Penybont and 1.33 for Connahs Quay.
What was the final score of Penybont vs Connahs Quay?
Penybont 0-1 Connahs Quay in the Wales - Premier League on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Penybont vs Connahs Quay?
Before kick-off our model rated an Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Penybont 34%, draw 25%, Connahs Quay 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Connahs Quay), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.