Deportivo Pasto 1-1 Jaguares De Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 6 Feb 2024

Deportivo Pasto
1-1 HT 0-0
Jaguares De Cordoba
📅06/02/2024 · 🕒02:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2024

Deportivo Pasto vs Jaguares De Cordoba Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.19
No
65%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-2.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+3.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.1pp
35%
BTTS Yes
42%
-6.3pp
65%
BTTS No
58%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo Pasto v Jaguares De Cordoba — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaguares De Cordoba EU Bookmakers 20%
+10% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.19/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.37
+8% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
374 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.8
20.9 Crosses 12.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2

Deportivo Pasto vs Jaguares De Cordoba Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pasto
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Jaguares De Cordoba
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.20 xG 0.78
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
302 Passes 333
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
09.09.2023 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-0 HT 1-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
08.05.2023 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 4-0 HT 1-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
28.03.2023 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
06.09.2022 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 2-1 HT 0-1 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
17.07.2022 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL

Deportivo Pasto 1-1 Jaguares De Cordoba — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pasto
1-1
AWAY Jaguares De Cordoba
1.55 xG 1.11
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
315 Passes 269
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pasto vs Jaguares De Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pasto and Jaguares De Cordoba couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Pasto at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (65%) missed.

On the day, Deportivo Pasto had 54% of the ball to Jaguares De Cordoba's 46%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 1.55 to 1.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pasto had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 0.33 for Jaguares De Cordoba.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs Jaguares De Cordoba?

Deportivo Pasto 1-1 Jaguares De Cordoba in the Colombia - Primera on 06/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pasto vs Jaguares De Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pasto win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 54%, draw 26%, Jaguares De Cordoba 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Pasto), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Pasto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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