Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Cali Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Independiente Medellin v Deportivo Cali — Team-Based Signals
Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Cali Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 2-1
Independiente Medellin
KOL
3-0
HT 2-0
Deportivo Cali
KOL
2-2
HT 0-1
Independiente Medellin
KOL
2-0
HT 1-0
Deportivo Cali
KOL
1-3
HT 1-0
Deportivo Cali
KOLK
2-2
HT 1-1
Independiente Medellin
KOLK
Independiente Medellin 1-0 Deportivo Cali — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Medellin edged past Deportivo Cali 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Independiente Medellin as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Independiente Medellin had 38% of the ball to Deportivo Cali's 62%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 0.62 to 0.67.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Independiente Medellin and 1.50 for Deportivo Cali.
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Cali?
Independiente Medellin 1-0 Deportivo Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 06/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Cali?
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Independiente Medellin 53%, draw 25%, Deportivo Cali 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Medellin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.