Ferencvaros vs MTK Budapest Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ferencvaros v MTK Budapest — Team-Based Signals
Ferencvaros vs MTK Budapest Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-6
HT 1-2
Ferencvaros
MAC
0-3
HT 0-0
MTK Budapest
MAC
0-0
HT 0-0
Ferencvaros
MAC
0-0
HT 0-0
MTK Budapest
MAC
2-2
HT 0-2
Ferencvaros
MAC
2-0
HT 1-0
MTK Budapest
MAC
Ferencvaros 5-1 MTK Budapest — Actual Match Statistics
Ferencvaros swept aside MTK Budapest 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ferencvaros as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Ferencvaros had 73% of the ball to MTK Budapest's 27%, shots finished 27-2, expected goals 2.51 to 0.11.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferencvaros had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ferencvaros and 1.00 for MTK Budapest.
What was the final score of Ferencvaros vs MTK Budapest?
Ferencvaros 5-1 MTK Budapest in the Hungary - NB I on 06/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ferencvaros vs MTK Budapest?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Ferencvaros 61%, draw 21%, MTK Budapest 18%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ferencvaros), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.