Ujpest 1-2 Debrecen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 6 Feb 2024

Ujpest
1-2 HT 0-0
Debrecen
📅06/02/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2023/2024

Ujpest vs Debrecen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.02
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.79
6+ Goals
12%
16.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.2pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.6pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-1.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.7pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ujpest v Debrecen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ujpest EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Debrecen EU Bookmakers 42%
+6% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -15%
1.55/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/0.95
+20% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
250 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 72%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
18.7 Crosses 22.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Ujpest vs Debrecen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ujpest
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Debrecen
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.53 xG 0.74
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
529 Passes 147
86% Pass Accuracy 61%
25 Box Touches 10
31 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
30.09.2023 Debrecen Debrecen 1-2 HT 0-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
05.03.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 1-1 HT 1-1 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
16.10.2022 Debrecen Debrecen 4-1 HT 1-1 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
12.03.2022 Debrecen Debrecen 1-2 HT 0-2 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
20.11.2021 Ujpest Ujpest 3-1 HT 1-1 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
08.08.2021 Debrecen Debrecen 2-2 HT 0-1 Ujpest Ujpest MAC

Ujpest 1-2 Debrecen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ujpest
1-2
AWAY Debrecen
1.68 xG 1.72
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
232 Passes 354
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ujpest vs Debrecen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Debrecen squeezed past Ujpest 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Debrecen found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Ujpest had 44% of the ball to Debrecen's 56%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.68 to 1.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ujpest had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ujpest and 1.67 for Debrecen.

What was the final score of Ujpest vs Debrecen?

Ujpest 1-2 Debrecen in the Hungary - NB I on 06/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ujpest vs Debrecen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ujpest win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ujpest 39%, draw 25%, Debrecen 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ujpest) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ujpest) ✓ BTTS Yes
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