MKE Ankaragücü 5-1 24Erzincanspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 6 Feb 2024

📅06/02/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.39
2-3 Goals
42%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
2.89
6+ Goals
12%
8.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.58
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
7%
20.4
X/1
17%
3.44
X/2
7%
16.5
X/X
6%
7.1
2/1
6%
22.05
2/2
7%
12.9
2/X
8%
20.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
68%
-7.1pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.3pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY 24Erzincanspor EU Bookmakers 16%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.70/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/2.66
+9% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
458 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
5-1
AWAY 24Erzincanspor
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 2
11 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH MKE Ankaragücü vs 24Erzincanspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MKE Ankaragücü ran out comfortable winners over 24Erzincanspor 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had MKE Ankaragücü as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, MKE Ankaragücü had 57% of the ball to 24Erzincanspor's 43%, shots finished 16-2.

What was the final score of MKE Ankaragücü vs 24Erzincanspor?

MKE Ankaragücü 5-1 24Erzincanspor in the Turkey - Cup on 06/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MKE Ankaragücü vs 24Erzincanspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a MKE Ankaragücü win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split MKE Ankaragücü 61%, draw 21%, 24Erzincanspor 17%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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