CA Penarol 2-0 Boston River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay Cup, 6 Feb 2024

📅06/02/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
32%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.78
Over 2.5
59%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-7.3pp
20%
Draw
25%
-5.2pp
32%
Away Win
19%
+12.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
52%
-11.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
48%
+11.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Penarol EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Boston River EU Bookmakers 22%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Penarol
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Boston River
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.09.2023 Boston River Boston River 0-1 HT 0-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
16.07.2023 CA Penarol CA Penarol 2-1 HT 2-0 Boston River Boston River URU
20.02.2023 CA Penarol CA Penarol 1-0 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
13.10.2022 Boston River Boston River 2-1 HT 1-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
29.09.2022 CA Penarol CA Penarol 0-0 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URUK
22.05.2022 CA Penarol CA Penarol 1-0 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Penarol
2-0
AWAY Boston River
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CA Penarol vs Boston River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Penarol got the better of Boston River 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CA Penarol had 54% of the ball to Boston River's 46%, shots finished 19-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CA Penarol and 0.50 for Boston River.

What was the final score of CA Penarol vs Boston River?

CA Penarol 2-0 Boston River in the Uruguay Cup on 06/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Penarol vs Boston River?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 49%, draw 20%, Boston River 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CA Penarol) ✗ Over 2.5
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