Chesterfield 5-2 Doncaster Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 6 Feb 2025

📅06/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.85
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.67
6+ Goals
9%
16.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 30% vs market 27.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.07
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
13%
5.78
X/2
19%
5.34
X/X
10%
4.44
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
14%
3.6
2/X
6%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.9pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.4pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+1.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.3pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chesterfield EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 42%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +35%
1.11/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/0.91
-15% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / +48%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
258 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 71%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
21.5 Crosses 16.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chesterfield
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.46 xG 0.72
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
319 Passes 203
76% Pass Accuracy 68%
21 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 5
28.09.2024 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 0-3 HT 0-1 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN2
29.07.2017 Chesterfield Chesterfield 4-0 HT 0-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers HAZ
19.04.2016 Chesterfield Chesterfield 1-1 HT 1-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN1
24.11.2015 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 3-0 HT 0-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN1
31.01.2015 Chesterfield Chesterfield 2-2 HT 1-2 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN1
20.09.2014 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 3-2 HT 2-1 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chesterfield
5-2
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
2.42 xG 2.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 21
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
253 Passes 265
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 35
19 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Chesterfield vs Doncaster Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chesterfield cruised past Doncaster Rovers 5-2. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 23% / 40% — and on the day Chesterfield made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Chesterfield had 49% of the ball to Doncaster Rovers's 51%, shots finished 10-21, expected goals 2.42 to 2.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Chesterfield and 1.50 for Doncaster Rovers.

What was the final score of Chesterfield vs Doncaster Rovers?

Chesterfield 5-2 Doncaster Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 06/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chesterfield vs Doncaster Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Doncaster Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chesterfield 37%, draw 23%, Doncaster Rovers 40%. The final score 5-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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