Al Ahli Manama 1-3 Al Shabab Manama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 6 Feb 2025

Al Ahli Manama
1-3 HT 1-2
Al Shabab Manama
📅06/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Bahrain - Premier League – 2024/2025

Al Ahli Manama vs Al Shabab Manama Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.05
Draw
34%
3.28
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.75
Over 2.5
40%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.78
2-3 Goals
45%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.76
6+ Goals
8%
16.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
45%
-8.6pp
34%
Draw
27%
+6.9pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
53%
+6.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
47%
-6.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.5pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Ahli Manama v Al Shabab Manama — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Manama EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shabab Manama EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +10%
1.43/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.87
-9% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +50%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5

Al Ahli Manama vs Al Shabab Manama Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli Manama
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Al Shabab Manama
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.05.2024 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
25.12.2023 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
27.04.2023 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
27.04.2023 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
15.12.2022 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
10.10.2022 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 4-0 HT 2-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAHKK

Al Ahli Manama 1-3 Al Shabab Manama — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Manama
1-3
AWAY Al Shabab Manama
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Manama vs Al Shabab Manama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shabab Manama got the better of Al Ahli Manama 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (36% / 34% / 30%) promised a tight game; Al Shabab Manama found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Ahli Manama had 52% of the ball to Al Shabab Manama's 48%, shots finished 14-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Al Ahli Manama and 0.33 for Al Shabab Manama.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Manama vs Al Shabab Manama?

Al Ahli Manama 1-3 Al Shabab Manama in the Bahrain - Premier League on 06/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Manama vs Al Shabab Manama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli Manama win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Manama 36%, draw 34%, Al Shabab Manama 30%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahli Manama) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BAH More Bahrain - Premier League
6 Feb 2025
19:00 AAli FC vs Khalidiya Analysis →