Al Ahli Manama 0-1 Al Shabab Manama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 15 May 2024

📅15/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.54
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.38
6+ Goals
9%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.54 — our 28% vs market 22.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-3.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.6pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Manama EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shabab Manama EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.29/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.91
-11% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +31%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli Manama
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Al Shabab Manama
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.12.2023 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
27.04.2023 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
27.04.2023 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
15.12.2022 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
10.10.2022 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 4-0 HT 2-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAHKK
07.10.2020 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Manama
0-1
AWAY Al Shabab Manama
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Manama vs Al Shabab Manama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shabab Manama squeezed past Al Ahli Manama 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Al Shabab Manama made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Al Ahli Manama had 42% of the ball to Al Shabab Manama's 58%, shots finished 5-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli Manama had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Ahli Manama and 0.17 for Al Shabab Manama.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Manama vs Al Shabab Manama?

Al Ahli Manama 0-1 Al Shabab Manama in the Bahrain - Premier League on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Manama vs Al Shabab Manama?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Shabab Manama win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Manama 36%, draw 27%, Al Shabab Manama 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shabab Manama), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Shabab Manama) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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