Busaiteen 1-3 Al Riffa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 15 May 2024

📅15/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.69
Draw
17%
3.8
Away
60%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.91
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
29%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
26%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
26%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
24%
-0.7pp
17%
Draw
23%
-5.7pp
60%
Away Win
53%
+6.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.4pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busaiteen EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Riffa EU Bookmakers 57%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -13%
1.64/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.28
+70% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -33%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busaiteen
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Riffa
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
33% Ball Possession 67%
5 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.12.2023 Al Riffa Al Riffa 1-0 HT 0-0 Busaiteen Busaiteen BAH
16.04.2021 Busaiteen Busaiteen 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
30.01.2021 Busaiteen Busaiteen 1-2 HT 0-2 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
14.08.2020 Al Riffa Al Riffa 5-1 HT 1-1 Busaiteen Busaiteen BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Busaiteen
1-3
AWAY Al Riffa
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Busaiteen vs Al Riffa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Riffa saw off Busaiteen 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Riffa as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Busaiteen had 37% of the ball to Al Riffa's 63%, shots finished 8-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Riffa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Busaiteen and 2.25 for Al Riffa.

What was the final score of Busaiteen vs Al Riffa?

Busaiteen 1-3 Al Riffa in the Bahrain - Premier League on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busaiteen vs Al Riffa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Riffa win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Busaiteen 23%, draw 17%, Al Riffa 60%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Riffa), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Riffa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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